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Forecast for Disaster: The Weather Behind Black Saturday

Forecast for Disaster: The Weather Behind Black Saturday

Wednesdays at 1:30PM & Saturdays at 6:30PM

Forecast for Disaster The Weather Behind Black Saturday tells the story of Australia’s worst bushfire that struck regions across Victoria on Black Saturday, February 7, 2009. It took over 170 lives, left more than seven thousand homeless and became the countries most devastating weather events on record.

Anniversary of Tropical Cyclone Yasi




Summary of Tropical Cyclone Yasi


Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi began developing as a tropical low northwest of Fiji on 29th January and started tracking on a general westward track. The system quickly intensified to a cyclone category to the north of Vanuatu and was named Yasi at 10pm on the 30th by Fiji Meteorological Service. Yasi maintained a westward track and rapidly intensified to a Category 2 by 10am on 31st January and then further to a Category 3 by 4pm on the same day.

Yasi maintained Category 3 intensity for the next 24 hours before being upgraded to a Category 4 at 7pm on 1st February. During this time, Yasi started to take a more west-southwestward movement and began to accelerate towards the tropical Queensland coast.

Yasi showed signs of further intensification and at 4am on 2nd February and was upgraded to a marginal Category 5 system. Yasi maintained this intensity and its west-southwest movement, making landfall on the southern tropical coast near Mission Beach between midnight and 1am early on Thursday 3rd February. Being such a strong and large system, Yasi maintained a strong core with damaging winds and heavy rain, tracking westwards across northern Queensland and finally weakened to a tropical low near Mount Isa around 10pm on 3rd February.

Yasi is one of the most powerful cyclones to have affected Queensland since records commenced. Previous cyclones of a comparable measured intensity include the 1899 cyclone Mahina in Princess Charlotte Bay, and the two cyclones of 1918 at Mackay (January) and Innisfail (March).

Coastal Crossing Details


Crossing time: 12 am - 1am EST, 3 Feb 2011
Crossing location: Near Mission Beach, 138km S of Cairns
Category when crossing the coast: 5

Extreme Values During Cyclone Event (estimated)


Note that these values may be changed on the receipt of later information

Maximum Category: 5
Maximum sustained wind speed: 205 km/hr (estimated)
Maximum wind gust: 285 km/hr (estimated)
Lowest central pressure: 929 hPa

Information sourced from The Bureau of Meteorology.